Sunday 12 July 2020

"The End Of History !" What's That ?


Prafulla Kumar Mohanty

The "End of History" champions like Francis Fukuyama have proved to be false prophets  before their personal history ended. Globalisation free market economy and liberal democracy with its capitalistic dreams ended when  the 2007 - 8 recession challenged the inbuilt hubris of their concept of history. It's true that between 1980 and 2008 there were no major wars except 9/11, 26/11 terror attacks and the ISIS violence; a large number of Below Poverty Line people were freed of their tag;  democracies thrived and new democracies sprang up:  But history is not subservient to certain Enlightenment thinkers' concept of human welfare.  The West is not the entire world nor can ever be. What America and Europe think is not the thought of the Asian countries or the Gulf countries. No ideology is acceptable to man for all time for the human mind is often sick of its own ideals  after a crisis  blows over and thinks of dream alternatives and contrarian architecture of life. The mind is often at war with itself for a prolonged state of peace, prosperity, happiness creates its  own stasis. The experience of the two Great Wars  provides enough material to disprove all our logic. The League of Nations, humans (in the west) thought would create a new human order which would embrace  every man and ultimately a global harmony will lead to peace and happiness.  Russell wrote of World Government and much before that the American President Wilson sang of World Governance in lyrical terms. After the Second War the League was beleaguered by self contradictory squabbles and the United Nations was born. The idea was virtually fathered by the visionary Franklin Delano Roosevelt a former President of USA although he did not live to see the UN take shape. His successor Harry Truman on June 26, 1945 addressing the signatories said, "You have created a great instrument for peace and security and human progress in the world..." My dear readers know what World Governance came out of this World Body!

History did not end with the Wars. The UN has not created any trust or faith in the minds of men and women in East or West, in the Ist, IInd, IIIrd Worlds - now no more unipolar or even multipolar if you take polarity as a benchmark or metaphor to explicate the equations ­­­­­­­­­­­­­- all countries are inward looking except China.  And this China now is  poised uneasily to retract her own history. America is on the decline, the entire European Union countries may follow the Brexit path to protect identities. History today is like an atom in a magnetic field uncertain where to stick.

India in the pristine past had the chance to end history in the Western sense during the Mauryan Empire. From Gandhar in the north to Magadh, later Kalinga  was freed from unethical domination, Alexander, Ambi and Dhananda were decimated  by Chandragupta Maurya with the mastermind of Chanakya leaving almost  the whole of India for Ashok to unite in peace and prosperity the entire country. After the Kalinga War and the transformation of Ashok from Himsa (violence) to Ahimsa, from brute muscularity to Buddhist nonviolence, peace and human togetherness, there was indeed a time for history to end, at least to take a breather. But that was not to be. Gandhi's India had raised some hope that the world may follow Gandhi's satya and ahimsa to make the world pause on the cusp of a new history of mankind, awakened to life  sustaining values in the inner being. But no, that was also not to be. Not to be because time and history are two different dimensions. Time, after Einstein is the fourth dimension of reality, but history is not bound by cause and effect dimensions of  Space.  Nature and human destiny are independent of each other, hence the directions of their movement or stasis are different.  The Indians have been attacked by the Western pundits that they have no sense of time and history. But the West does not understand that in India the philosophers always believed in the circularity of time in contradistinction to the rectilinear of the West. Oswald Spengler in his Decline of The West (1918) perceptively writes:

      We men of the Western Culture are, with our historical sense, an exception and not a rule. World history is our world picture and not all mankind's. Indian and Classical man formed no image of a world in progress, and perhaps when in due course the civilization of the West is extinguished, there will never again be a cultural and a human type in which "World History" is so potent a form of the waking consciousness.

Nature does not interfere in the freedom of human destiny which however is mostly determined by human responses to the situational dynamics of moments. History is recorded by humans and their understanding of a nation or mankind's destiny is never a true statement. In any case history is never a changeless document and that too is coloured by the ideology and bias of the historian concerned. Arnold. J. Toynbee in a 1947 essay has clearly stated that - He is a middle aged Englishman belonging to the middle class and these conditions of his birth, class and nationality will definitely impact his perceptions. Hence we may safely conclude that history is one mind's interpretation of a people's activities in a time frame.

If the human spirit is predictable (or static) in behaving in a particular fashion, that spirit is not Free. But freedom is the self contained existence of the spirit. The emotions, actions, thought, response and reaction are man's material essence and the action-reaction are seen: But very often man's response is not free. What Nepal's Primeminister Oli did in may - June 2020 is not free action dictated by Spirit. It was opportunistic action under pressure. If this action is judged by historians as betrayal of India's  trust in Nepal's friendship, that will be as wrong as the other judgement, unarticulated or stated, "India's ill treatment and Big brotherly attitude had it coming". Therefore any judgement by historians is temporary, for all human decisions, actions are "true" of the given moment.

If we discard Nicolas Berdyaev's The Meaning of History (1923) as a typical Christian view, we may also reject W.B. Yeats'  A Vision(Book V) as an imaginative foray into symbolic logic. The sphere and the zyres, one representing eternity and the other (zyres) symbolising the world of change are poetic visualization of a great mind. But the Two Thousand year rotational repetition of civilization and the phases culminating in a cycle peeking at the "Great Year" the interpenetrating cones etc, have not been demonstrated by our recorded history. What I like to emphasize is that no culture or civilization comes to an end even if the imagined 'heaven' is experienced on earth. All humans can never be free. All humans can never be equal. All humans cannot be democrats: Unless robots of the same artificial intelligence in degree,  order, emotion and feelings replace human beings. All our science and technology can accomplish is a forward movement towards an ideal state of well being. Keynes, Lincoln, Mao Tse  Dong, Jefferson, Roosevelt, Hitler, Churchill, Gandhi, Nehru, Ambedkar,  Xi Jinping and also Modi -  these and many others, not listed, have tried pursuing their ideals or negatively,  'Political Vulturism', to give a form and shape to people in their own countries or area of influence: But none have given us an Elysium or Hades beyond a few years. History has its own dynamics. It has its own Darwinism.

Those who try to make the Present, the Future of mankind must remember, we have a Past too and that Past was once the Present which the historians wanted to make the Future to make themselves ridiculed by posterity. To end this piece, I may quote from Martin Rees's On The Future (2018): "Suppose they( Scientists) could simulate a universe as complex as the one we perceive ourselves to be in. A disconcerting thought ( albeit a wild speculation) then arises: Perhaps that's what we really are!"

Time is the context not the content of the human mind.

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